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Thursday, 22 August 2013

Complexity Reading List

Foundational Papers in Complexity Science
http://www.santafe.edu/library/foundational-papers-complexity-science/

  1. Neumann, John von and Morgenstern, Oskar Theory of Games and Economic Behavior. Princeton, NJ. Princeton University Press. 1944, sec.ed. 1947, th.ed. 1953.

Wednesday, 21 August 2013

Limitations of Game Theory

John H. Holland, in his well-known book Emergence: From Chaos To Order, actually points out two limitations of game theory.

1. Plays can enumerate all possible statements and define strategy for each action.

2. Plays can learning by doing.

Friday, 9 August 2013

Two Ways of Predicting a Phenomenon

There are two ways to predict the occurrence of a phenomenon. One is to collect all data while the other is to construct building blocks.

Weather forecast and board games are the two examples.

Monday, 29 July 2013

Some Valuable Words

The unexamined life is not worth living. (Socrates)
未经审视的生活是不值得过的。(苏格拉底)

我有一个好妈妈,时光请别伤害她!
I have a good mummy. Age please do not hurt her.

Light thinks it travels faster than anything but it is wrong. No matter how fast light travels it finds the darkness has always got there first, and is waiting for it. (Pratchett, 1991)
光以为自己比其他任何事物都运动得更快,其实不然。无论光跑多快,它总是发现黑暗已经达到,而且在那里等着它。(普拉切特,1991)

当你要开口说话时,你所说的话必须比你的沉默更有价值才行。(慧律法师)
When you speak, you words must be more valuable than silence. (Huilv)

Wednesday, 15 May 2013

How to Publish a Research Paper


Publishing a research paper in a journal or conference is an important activity within the academic community. It allows you to network with other scholars and to further refine your ideas and research. Academic journals are probably the most common place for scholars to publish their research. Find the most suitable academic journal for your topic and writing style so you can tailor your research paper easily and increase its chance of being published.

1
Familiarize yourself with potential publications. It is important to be aware of the research already published and the current questions and studies in your field. Pay special attention to how other research papers are written: the format, the type of articles (quantitative studies versus qualitative ones, primary research, review of existing papers), the writing style, the subject matter, and the vocabulary.

  • Read academic journals related to your field of study.
  • Search online for published research papers, conference papers, and journal articles.
  • Ask a colleague or professor for a suggested reading list.

2
Choose the publication that best suits your research paper. Each publication has its own audience and tone of writing. Decide if your research paper would fit better in a journal that is highly technical and meant only for other scholars or a journal that is more general in nature that would appeal to a broader audience.

2
Prepare your manuscript. Format your research paper so it fits the guidelines for that publication. Most journals provide a document called "Instruction to Authors" or "Author's Guide" that offers specific instructions about layout, type font, and length. This guide will also tell you how to submit your paper and will provide details of the review process.

3
Ask a colleague and/or professor to review your research paper. They should edit your paper for grammar, spelling errors, typos, clarity, and conciseness. At this time, they should also verify your content. Research papers need to present an issue that is significant and relevant. They should be clearly written, easy to follow, and appropriate for the intended audience. Have two or three people review your paper, more if possible.

4
Revise your paper. It is likely you will go through three or four drafts before final submission of your research paper. Make a special effort to make your paper clear, engaging, and easy to follow. This will greatly increase your chances of being published.

5
Submit your article. Go back to the Author's Guide to review submission requirements. Once you are satisfied that your paper meets all of the guidelines, submit the paper through the appropriate channels. Some journals allow online submission, while others prefer a hard copy.

6
Keep trying. Sometimes journals will ask you to revise your paper and resubmit. Study their critiques carefully and make the necessary changes. Do not get over-attached to your original submission. Instead, remain flexible and rework the paper in light of the feedback you received. Use all of your skills as a researcher and a writer to create a superior paper. Even if you are ultimately rejected by your "target" publication, continue to re-write your research paper and submit it to other publications.




II

“ This article will help you to write and publish your research paper. For Research Scholars doing Phd it is mandatory to publish their research papers at international level academic Journals or scholarly (Peer Reviewed) journals. And Many of the students who will apply for further studies in technical courses will discover that relevant published research papers help during admission process.So here I am trying to post some guidelines that you can follow … ”

1. Preliminary

The first activity for publishing a technical paper is to figure out your technical area of interest. Make sure the you had carried out enough studies on basics of that topic. Then you have you to update yourself with the ongoing technical happenings in your chosen field. You can do this by

(1) Reading and googling a lot of technical papers. There are a lot of journals and IEEE papers floating around in net.
(2) Go to one or more conferences, listen carefully to the best talks, and find out what people are thinking about.

Once you are done with the above mentioned steps, then you are eligible for writing a paper.

2. Read existing Papers

Read everything that might be relevant gives you different perspective of the focus topic. But be selective too, for not getting to much deviated from you topic of interest. Getting used to simulation software is much useful for simulating your work. You can find a lot of time during the days and utilize those holidays & free days.

3. A jump start

When you first start reading up on a new field, ask your fellow researcher what the most useful journals and conference proceedings are in your field, and ask for a list of important papers that you should read. This activity will give you a jump start.

4. Crack the jargons and terms

One of among the tough nuts to crack is to understand the paper published by others. The easiest way is to is by reading it many times. The more times you read the more will be revealed to you. Keep the Internet handy so that you can crack the jargons and terms, which you may find strange.

5. Write down your studies

Write down speculations, interesting problems, possible solutions, random ideas, references to look up, notes on papers you've read, outlines of papers to write, and interesting quotes. Read back through it periodically. Keeping a journal of your research activities and ideas is very useful.

6. Bits and pieces together

Now you can identify important open problems in your research field and also you will be very much aware of what you are doing and what you have to do. The more you go, you'll notice that the bits of random thoughts start to come together and form a pattern, which may be a bright enough for a good paper.

7. Simulation softwares easies

Please don't pick overly ambitious topics; instead identify a realistic size problem. Gather the Matlab files available in the Internet that is related to your topic and simulate it for the claimed results. Please don’t expect the Mfiles readily available for a solution published in a paper. But you can make it of your own by modifying and adding. Believe me, Matlab is a very easy tool! Once you are able to get the simulated outputs of your solution, you can carry on for making a paper out of it.

8. Essence of your work

The essence of your work can be diagnosed by analyzing below listed points. We can increase the maturity of the paper by improving these.

Significance: Why was this work done? Did you solve an important problem of current interest or is it an obscure or obsolete problem?

Originality/Novelty: Is your approach novel or is it tried-and-true? Did you need to develop new tools, either analytical or physical?

Completeness: Have you tested a wide range of scenarios, or is this just a simple proof-of-concept?
Correct: Is your solution technically sound or are there errors?
Consider improving the same.

9. Anatomy of paper

Generally a paper has seven sections and a maximum of four pages. They are
(1) Abstract,
(2) Introduction,
(3) Existing techniques,
(4) Your contribution,
(5) Results and,
(6) Conclusion.

10. The procedure

As a part of your paper publication, you can start documenting the ‘existing techniques’ from the scrap journal you did during the studies. Here you have to extract what all are the techniques existing as a solution for the particular problem and the pros and cons of those.

Next, document the 'introduction' about what is the topic and what you are going to do. Better to keep it short. Follows your contribution and the simulated results.
(1) Describe the problem
(2) State your contributions

"Abstract" is one section you can work on in the last, as it has to cover the all the sections very briefly. Please note that Abstract makes the committee members to decide whether or not to read your paper. Generally four lines are sufficient for this.
(1) State the problem
(2) Say why it's an interesting problem
(3) Say what your solution achieves
(4) Say what follows from your solution

11. Section by section

The divide-and-conquer strategy works on a day-to-day level as well. Instead of writing an entire paper, focus on the goal of writing a section, or outline. Remember, every task you complete gets you closer to finishing your paper.

12. Get a pre-review

Now your paper is ready. You can ask your peers or professors to review your paper. Next is to find the right place to publish it. You can start of with national level conferences, which often gets conducted in many universities. Then once you gain a level of confidence, you can proceed to international conferences and journals.

13. Read the reviews carefully

This is really, really, really hard. Only a small proportion, 5 to 10 percent, are accepted the first time they are submitted, and usually they are only accepted subject to revision. In fact, anything aside from simply "reject," Neal-Barnett reminds, is a positive review. These include:
* Accept: "Which almost nobody gets," she says.
* Accept with revision: "Just make some minor changes."
* Revise and resubmit: "They're still interested in you!"
* Reject and resubmit: Though not as good as revise and resubmit, "they still want the paper!"
Read every criticism as a positive suggestion for something you could explain more clearly

14. Don't panic

After reading the review the first time, put it aside. Come back to it later, reading the paper closely to decide whether the criticisms were valid and how you can address them. You will often find that reviewers make criticisms that are off-target because they misinterpreted some aspect of your paper. If so, don't let it get to you -- just rewrite that part of your paper more clearly so that the same misunderstanding won't happen again.

It's frustrating to have a paper rejected because of a misunderstanding, but at least it's something you can fix. On the other hand, criticisms of the content of the paper may require more substantial revisions -- rethinking your ideas, running more tests, or redoing an analysis.

15. Rejected? Be Positive

If your paper is rejected, keep trying! Take the reviews to heart and try to rewrite the paper, addressing the reviewer's comments. "Remember, to get a lot of publications, you also will need to get lots of rejections," says Edward Diener, PhD, editor of APA's Journal of Personality and Social Psychology: Personality Processes and Individual Differences.

16. Common mistakes

Wrong sequence in Figure and Table numbering
Misalignment of columns
Usage of figures from another paper without credit and permission

17. Where to publish

Generally, there are three main choices:
* National Conference: A conference is the right place for beginner scholars, since the level of scrutiny is minimal. The conferences will accept papers which details about the comparison of existing technologies, mathematically proven but practically unproven proposals, etc.

* International Conference: A conference is the good play ground for Intermediated scholars. This mostly same as National Conference but the securitization will be more.

Conferences offer rapid time-to-publish, plus you will often get feedback on your work when you present it.

Page lengths and acceptance standards vary widely from conference to conference, but generally conference papers are shorter than full journal papers.

* Journal: Journal papers are generally the Alfa and Omega of publishing papers and they are considered as more prestigious than conferences. 

Saturday, 13 April 2013

【中爱新闻】爱尔兰债券的信用等级有望提升

<财政部长今日会见了信用评级机构穆迪斯的负责人>

由于欧盟已于昨天做出了延长对爱尔兰紧急援助基金期限的决定,财政部长迈克尔·努南(Michael Noonan)想借欧盟昨天延长对爱尔兰紧急援助基金期限的时机,增加爱尔兰国债被评级机构穆迪斯(Moody's)提高信用等级的可能性。

穆迪斯是目前唯一一个仍将爱尔兰债券的信用等级评定为垃圾债券的机构。

努南和国库管理机构CEO约翰·里甘(John Corrigan)最近几天和穆迪斯的高级管理人员举行了会谈。会谈的部分目的就在于说服这家评级机构上调爱尔兰债券的信用等级。

努南说截至昨天欧盟通过的最新议案,自今年1月份以来爱尔兰已经在一系列增强信用的事务上获得了成果。他不会试图是预测信用评级机构的评级倾向,但是他说道,由于其他信用评级机构都对爱尔兰取得的最新进展做出的反应,穆迪斯可能也会对爱尔兰的信用等级做出相应调整。

关键词:穆迪斯;财政部长;爱尔兰国债


来源:http://www.rte.ie/news/2013/0413/381205-noonan-says-moodys-upgrade-likely/

Friday, 12 April 2013

【中爱新闻】欧盟同意延长对爱尔兰的贷款

<欧盟集团主席杰伦·迪塞尔布勒姆祝贺爱尔兰取得坚实进展>

欧盟经济财政委员(Ecofin)会今年在都柏林城堡(Dublin Castle)召开了一次财政部长峰会,该会议就延长对爱尔兰的紧急援助贷款达成原则性意见,爱尔兰的贷款期限将平均延长七年,同时获得贷款延长的还有葡萄牙。

欧盟集团(Eurogroup)主席杰伦·迪塞尔布勒姆(Jeroen Dijsselbloem)接受采访时表示,与会的各位财政部长讨论了对爱尔兰紧急援助项目第九次审核的情况,他祝贺爱尔兰在实施该项目上所取得坚实的进步。他还表示,爱尔兰是欧盟的协调政策能够有效缓解债务危机的生动例子,它说明一个强有力的所有权和诚恳的改革决心将使得协调政策得以发挥作用。他预期欧盟各成员国的国会在一周内签发该协议。

财政部长迈克尔·努南(Michael Noonan)对这一成果表示欢迎,他说这一举措将帮助爱尔兰早日脱离紧急援助,他认为这是“爱尔兰和葡萄牙在实现完全和稳定地重返市场进程中的重要一步。”他同时表示将从技术层面上制定出这项协议的实施细节,而该协议的实施将对爱尔兰的借款成本产生一定的下行压力。

迈克尔·努南说今天所取得的进展、连同2月份在国债发行中的成功,充分展示了政府在减轻银行和国家债务上所取得重要成绩。这项政策所带来的好处已经在3月份成功发行50亿欧元的十年期国债中有所体现,这意味着爱尔兰将按照预定时间于今年底退出欧盟/国际货币基金组织/欧洲央行(EU/IMF/ECB)项目。

关键词:都柏林城堡;财政部长;欧盟经济财政委员;贷款期限


来源:
http://www.independent.ie/business/irish/eu-ministers-back-loan-extension-29191179.html
http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2013/0412/381006-slovenia-not-on-dublin-agenda-today/


Thursday, 11 April 2013

【中爱新闻】央行对硬币上的错误表示遗憾


<10欧元纪念币在引用作家话语时多了个“that”>


央行对一款新发行的纪念币上引用作家詹姆斯·乔伊斯(James Joyce)的话语时所犯的错误表达了遗憾之情,但同时表示该款纪念币仍将继续销售。

新发行的面值10欧元的纪念币上印有詹姆斯·乔伊斯的头像,同时引用了他的小说《尤利西斯(Ulysses)》中的一句话,但是在这句话中多加了一个单词“that”。

央行解释说发行该纪念币的目的是再现作者及其作品的艺术成就,倒不一定要刻意地去扣字眼。当时,央行同时承认其内部发行程序确实存在问题,并且正在重新审核整个发行程序。

该纪念币仍然在售,但是央行会提前告知购买者纪念币上的这一错误。此前已经购买了该纪念币的顾客如果想要退款,央行将以46欧元的价格回收。

关键词:央行;纪念币;詹姆斯·乔伊思


来源:http://www.rte.ie/news/2013/0411/380854-central-bank-regrets-james-joyce-error/

Wednesday, 10 April 2013

【中爱新闻】研究机构预计未来三年爱尔兰将面临低增长和高失业


<Eevin经济研究中心预计未来两年的经济增长率分别为1%和1.2%>
Nevin经济研究中心(Nevin Economic Research Institute, NERI)*认为爱尔兰需要更坚实的投资才能保持国内经济增长。这家由隶属于爱尔兰贸易联盟的多个工会资助的经济智囊机构还预测在未来三年爱尔兰将经历低增长和高失业。该机构相信延长爱尔兰的借款期限将稍许减轻财政负担,但是政府许要应对接下来两年的财政困难期。
 
低增长高失业的预测是基于他们对有关经济指标的观测结果仍然悲观做出的。在最新一期的季度经济观察中,NERI预测2013年和2014年的GDP增长率分别为1%和1.2%,到2015年这个数字将增加到2%。同时,他们预测2013年的就业将进一步萎缩,而2014年和2015年仍将维持在2013年的水平。

今天上午公布的这份季度经济观察公报还关注了北爱尔兰的年轻人就业危机问题,NERI发现北爱尔兰目前有3.4万18-24周岁的青年不处在“就业、教育或培训”状态,约占人口数的20%。

关键词:Nevin经济研究中心;经济增长;失业
 
 
 
 
【新闻知识】
 
* Nevin经济研究中心(Nevin Economic Research Institute, NERI):一家经济研究机构,受到隶属于爱尔兰工会联盟的多个工会组织的资助,在都柏林和贝尔法斯特(Belfield)都设有办公场所。